Climate change: more than one hundred thousand deaths annually in Europe in 2100?

Climate change in the future could have deadly consequences for more than 150,000 Europeans by 2100.

image from NASA

The COP21 conference in Paris at the end of 2015 set up a framework to limit global warming to less than 2 degrees, a threshold beyond which major climatic events will multiply, with heavy material and human consequences throughout the Globe.

The effort is praiseworthy but probably still insufficient to avoid major difficulties in the coming years, and the US withdrawal, at least temporary, of the process complicates the projections.

In a study published by Lancet Planetary Health, the effects of these delays will be felt heavily as early as 2100 in Europe. The prospective study noted that mortality due to exceptional climatic events could increase sharply in Europe by the end of the century.

According to the modeling applied to the data of the past years, this annual mortality will increase from 3000 cases in the years 1981 to 2010 to ... 152 000 cases between 2071 and 2100 if the efforts to stem the climate dysregulation are insufficient.

Google Earth Climate Change

On the different types of major climatic events most to be feared, it is the heat wave that should be the most deadly. The heat waves, which are always more tiring and of extended duration, could even cause 99% of the deaths anticipated at the end of the century, with a particularly marked risk in Southern Europe (Spain, Portugal, Italy ...).

Far behind but more deadly than before, coastal submersions could generate several hundred annual deaths, compared with less than a dozen now.

Other non-climatic factors are also taken into account in the study, such as the consequences of population density and population migration. But exceptional climatic events could affect by themselves two thirds of the European population by 2100.

Source : La Tribune


  Related:The annual natural resources of the Earth consumed 


💌     Follow by Email:Digital Channel

🌍🔍  Search Google :digitalchanneltv.tk

 Click Index You Might Be Interested

 

Tweet to @adesignmedia  
suivre Dhaouadi Aymensur